Avoiding a sinking game
Filed under: Business models, Culture, The Matrix Online, Opinion, Tabula Rasa, Vanguard

With the holiday season usually comes a healthy dose of gift money, and what comes with extra money for many people reading the site is new games. It's not as if the past year has been exactly spare on game releases, although the success of several is a bit up in the air. But be forewarned -- if you needed the reminder, 2009 could very well be the year we learned that no title is immune to being shut down, with Tabula Rasa and The Matrix Online being among the highest-profile games to finally be shut down for good due to sales figures.
Bio Break has an excellent post on what is termed "avoiding the Titanic" -- in short, making sure that you're not signing up for a game that's going to just leave you high and dry. The recent announcement from Vanguard is among the examples cited, although some fans would be quick to point out it's not a death knell for the game. But it doesn't sound like the game is going to advance far beyond its current state, and for many games, that means a slow bleeding-out. Of course, avoiding titles that are perceived as hopeless can be a self-fulfilling prophecy, but it's worth keeping in mind that perhaps that money might be better spent if you question a game's near future.















Reader Comments (Page 1 of 2)
Jack said on 4:06PM 12-25-2009
Not jump on Warhammer Online its bleeding bad and the doctor did jump overboard!
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Venekor said on 4:22PM 12-25-2009
The only two mmorpgs that aren't dying are WoW and EVE.
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ethereal.wolf said on 4:58PM 12-25-2009
i'd be curious to know what lotro's player numbers are doing.
Celestian said on 2:09AM 12-26-2009
LOL, EvE.
Grok said on 9:34AM 12-26-2009
I think LOTRO is fine. Servers still seem busy and active. Certainly nothing on the level of WoW, but I think they have a solid, enthusiastic base that sticks around.
Also, LOL EvE all you like. They keep slowly getting bigger over time, which is not an easy task in this industry.
nt said on 4:48PM 12-25-2009
it doesn't really matter if a game is dying as long as you get your moneys worth (of fun), since probably no mmo has an infinite life span. some may last longer than others, but at some point the (near) future, with constantly evolving technologies and new titles popping up every few seconds, it's really only a matter of time until most titles and even wow or eve will close down.
as so often it is really how you define your goals, but because nothing ever lasts you might go with "the journey is the reward". also: you wouldn't want to spend your whole life in a virtual reality anyway. :)
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Alarie said on 5:48PM 12-25-2009
Very well said nt. That is how I play my games for the fun. Tabula Rasa was a perfect example. I enjoyed it very much and knew the numbers were not great but I enjoyed the game and was still able to find people for groups when I needed.
And I met my goals in the game. No regrets picking the game up in the bargin bin.
CindyL said on 5:50PM 12-25-2009
Exactly, goodness I think it's important to give your two cents about how a game could improve, and it's ok to be sad when things don't work out, but yes avoiding a game just because it might 'fail' or close down is denying yourself of the experience you could have had there, and if it does shut down you can never say: "I was there when.."
Self fulfilling prophecy indeed, if enough people believe something will fail, it will that is inevitable. So maybe it's high time for some positive thinking from the community? Maybe that would be a nice wish for 2010.
Tristik said on 5:57PM 12-25-2009
Got the right idea there. Although it's nice to have a lengthy period of time to play a game and create relationships to the game and players, it's also about your personal fun. I only played Tabula Rasa for about 2 months and I bought it when it was about $40. I have no regrets doing so cause the experience was worth it.
And I still bounce back to SWG for a month here and there just to mess with decorations and speeder around the planets.
Mewmew said on 4:18PM 12-26-2009
I just clicked Comments to say the exact same thing that you already did.
No game is forever. It's all the same - time spent having fun or not. If I have a lot of fun during a time a game is up, that is a great thing. It's not like it's real work, with real value, it's just entertainment.
It's like TV. FLCL was one of the shortest anime runs in history, on purpose even, but I loved it and enjoyed my time with it. A long drawn out series that continues on forever, yeah those can be fun to (but I can also get bored with them, depending on the series).
No game is leaving you "high and dry" as long as you have enjoyed yourself while playing. Am I going to miss out on some excellent title because I'm scared it may not be around forever? No way!
Tabula Rasa was a great experience that I will always remember and it was definitely a different game than what was out there. I am super happy that I got to play it while it was here. If I hadn't signed up for it and missed it totally, that's when I would have felt cheated and upset.
If a game looks fun for you, buy it, don't avoid it being scared that it won't be around forever. You'll miss a good time, no matter how long it is, and maybe miss one of the best memories you ever would have kept for that game.
Get what feels right and fun for you, don't listen to this article and avoid a game worried that it may not keep going. Heck, if enough people did that, they may kill off a game that would have kept going, but they all were so scared to buy it, that it never got to take off.
I would not say any article telling you to avoid a game that may not stay here for long is "excellent" - I'd call that anti-fun, detrimental, full of BS, and a lot of other things, but never "excellent".
Wjowski said on 11:34PM 12-26-2009
However with other games you can always go back, whereas with dead MMO everything's gone forever.
Dude said on 4:50PM 12-25-2009
It's not looking too good for Warhammer.
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Rollins said on 4:59PM 12-25-2009
Vanguard is probably safe for a while. SOE hasn't shut down Galaxies, right?
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Flolah said on 5:16PM 12-25-2009
I think the only reason that those games haven't completed capitulated is because of the Station Access. If you have players who are already paying for something like EQ2 and maybe Free Realms, it doesn't seem too hard to imagine them also trying out Vanguard and SWG (or you can replace any of the titles with each other). That would keep just enough of a player base to cater for, I would suppose, but it does make me wonder how long they can keep that up.
Almost makes me wish there was an Atari pass, for games like DDO, STO, and CO. I'd probably actually re-up my CO in February, if that was the case, and getting some added benefits would have me dusting off my DDO characters, as well.
CCon99 said on 5:57PM 12-25-2009
Speaking of SOE's Station Pass. SOE raised the Station Pass monthly fee from $24.99 to $29.99 using the excuse that they were adding Vanguard to the list of games. So I'm wondering, did they ever go and lower that price back down after Matrix Online was shut down for good?
Yeah, I didn't think so.
interitus said on 10:01PM 12-25-2009
CCon99, I know it's hard but do try to show a hint of intelligence. SOE took down MxO. They currently have 2 projects in the works. Both potentially to be released next year. One can make an educated guess that these will also be added to the station pass. Where, if they had lowered the price, they would merely bump it back up again, causing backlash for "increasing" the price, when they were merely moving it back to the price it was at when they had the same number of games. If the station pass angers you so throughly you do have the free will not to purchase it. Or you can do any number of things to save that extra $5 to counter the difference in pricing.
CCon99 said on 6:23AM 12-26-2009
LOL, So was that a no? "kthxbaibai"
iMMigrant said on 5:00PM 12-25-2009
O_o
Just on this site alone, we've got this year in MMO gaming being (implicitly) compared to both the Hindenburg *and* the Titanic.
I'm not sure I should be hopeful for 2010.
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Sonoran said on 6:22PM 12-25-2009
I think the idea of making sure you avoid a "sinking" game - and the developer's side of the equation "making sure you don't perceive my game as "sinking"; is completely at odds with the desire every MMO gamer expresses for more imaginative and original MMO's.
The former drives gamers and developers toward a conservative "tried and true" approach i.e. don't take any chances, either in the games you choose to play or the game you develop.
Is it really such a tragedy if your game closes it doors? Maybe the pleasure of playing a game that really appealed to you for a few months is better than years of yet another fantasy dragon-fighter with the usual mechanics.
I think worries about being part of a game that closes down is overblown.
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Ronix said on 7:24PM 12-25-2009
What should be or is the typical lifetime of an MMORPG? Should we really expect 10+ years?
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